Laniakea Research
Valuation cockpits

What could tomorrow’s biggest businesses be worth today?

Two interactive models that build a value from the ground up. Pick a future, change anything you disagree with, and see what it means in today’s dollars. No finance knowledge needed.

Choose a cockpit How it works
  1. 1
    Pick a starting pointSkeptic, Laniakea base case or Believer
  2. 2
    Move the slidersMarket share, prices, costs, timing
  3. 3
    Read the value todayIn dollars, per share and against market value
Preview of the Tesla robotaxi valuation cockpit Tesla · Robotaxi

Tesla US Robotaxi Cockpit

What could a fleet of driverless Cybercabs on US roads be worth today? Follow the money from one ride to the whole fleet.

  1. One ride$3.77
  2. Profit / car / yr$18,680
  3. Fleet12.4M cars
  4. Value today$1.08T
Base case value today vs Tesla’s market value71%
$1.08T robotaxi$1.51T market value · $382.70 a share
Open cockpit full screen Watch the 4-min explainer
Base case as of 9 Oct 2026 · about 5 minutes · works on phone and desktop
Preview of the SpaceX orbital data center valuation cockpit SpaceX · Orbital data centers

SpaceX Orbital Data Center Cockpit

What could AI computers in orbit, launched by Starship and powered by the sun, be worth today? Follow it from launches to gigawatts.

  1. Flights a year3,000
  2. AI satellites675,200
  3. Compute169 GW
  4. Value today$1.27T
Base case value today vs SpaceX’s market value59%
$1.27T orbital data centers$2.14T market value · $162.60 a share
Open cockpit full screen Read the research
Base case as of 9 Oct 2026 · about 5 minutes · works on phone and desktop

Built for every level

Both cockpits work the same way, so once you know one you know the other.

Three views

Simple for newcomers, Standard for more detail, Advanced for discount rates and multiples.

Guided tour

A short walkthrough points out each part of the cockpit, step by step.

Range of outcomes

A Monte Carlo simulation and a sensitivity chart show which assumptions matter most.

Share your view

Copy a link to your exact settings, or download a one-page PDF summary.

New to the robotaxi model?

From one ride to $1 trillion in four minutes

An animated explainer builds the robotaxi value step by step: the fare, the costs, a day on the road, a year, the fleet and what it is worth today.

Disclosure: These cockpits are scenario tools built on stated assumptions, not forecasts. Not investment advice. Laniakea Research holds positions in Tesla and SpaceX and may benefit if their share prices move.